Apr 012011
 
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The future: less food, 2.2 billion more people. You do the math.The global crisis broke out earlier than predicted with a number of nations’ governments overthrown or in some level of threat because of food shortages, high prices for food, no jobs to pay for the food, and governments ruled by kings and dictators who run their countries in order to amass personal wealth. If the first three problems didn’t exist, then whoever runs the country wouldn’t be that much of a problem. But this isn’t going away. In fact, it’s all downhill from now on.

In 2009 Professor Lester Brown put out a possible scenario in the article “The biggest threat to global stability is the potential for food crisis in poor countries to cause government collapse.”

Well. His prediction has come to fruition as nations in North Africa and the Middle East are in various stages of unraveling-from Egypt, where we don’t know the outcome of civil unrest and violence, to Libya, which is now in a civil war involving other participants, from Arab nations to Europe and the United States.

Brown’s scenario:

  1. Food scarcity and the resulting higher food prices are pushing poor countries into chaos.
  2. Such “failed states” can export disease, terrorism, illicit drugs, weapons and refugees.
  3. Water shortages, soil losses and rising temperature from global warming are placing severe limits on food production.
  4. Without a massive and rapid intervention to address these three environmental factors, the author argues, a series of government collapses could threaten world order.

See “how extreme weather could create a global food crisis.”

John Beddington, the United Kingdom’s chief scientist, along with think tanks around the world, agree that “a ‘perfect storm’ of food shortages, scarce water and insufficient energy resources threaten to unleash public unrest…” This perfect storm is predicted to hit our planet by 2030 but as I mentioned, the recent activity appears to have moved the timeline up quite a bit.

Mass migrations by refugees (mostly labor migrants) from the fighting taking place in Libya have already begun. “So far, around 300,000 have fled Libya, probably not counting refugees; 150,000 escaped to Tunisia, another 118,000 to Egypt, 4,000 to Niger and 2,273 to Algeria. (Franck Duvell, senior researcher at COMPAS.)

Beddington:

“If we don’t address this, we can expect major destabilization, an increase in rioting and potentially significant problems with international migration, as people move to avoid food and water shortage.”

But now, in the first few months of 2011, we can say that this situation is here to stay as an unexpected outbreak of violence is causing governments to collapse or become vulnerable to a breakup in North Africa  and the Middle east. First to go was Tunisia, then Egypt and now Libya is involved in a civil war, involving other nations who are aiding the rebels against Gaddafi. (There are 123 ways to spell Gaddafi.)

The global situation will continue to sink into more violence and despair. But the mavens on Wall Street are filled with glee as they project serious shortages of commodities (food) for the future, meaning great profits are possible with the right investment strategy. This is a global shortage, due this year to global climate change, including floods and droughts. The prediction is for more of the same.

Of course, the rapidly increasing demands of over two billion people in 40 years and a much larger “middle” class that will purchase one billion more vehicles, means that we will run out of some resources and ration others. Without oil, for example, over 6,000 items can’t be made.

Valuable agricultural land in the third world (Africa) has been purchased by some of the wealthier countries to provide food for their own nations when the food becomes scarce. Nations will close their borders to exports of food, as they did in 2008. There will be wars over these foreign farms and other resources, such as oil and water.

So much for that “interdependent world” that our “leaders” have said would bring peace and prosperity through globalization. It did, however, provide enough to live on for the corporate types who put this scam together.

On November 04, 2010, the Arab Forum for Environment and Development (AFED) met to discuss water shortage:

The Arabs will face “severe water shortages by 2015, as the annual per capita share will be less than 500 cubic meters. This is below one-tenth of the world’s average, currently estimated at over 6,000 cubic meters.”

According to the report:

“Without fundamental changes in policies and practices, the situation will get worse, with drastic social, political and economic ramifications. Water supply sources in the Arab world, two0thirds of which originate outside the region, are being stretched to the limits.”

“Thirteen Arab countries are among the world’s nineteen most water-scarce nations, and per capita water availability in eight countries is already below 200 cubic meters annually, less than half the amount designated as severe-scarcity. By 2015 the only countries in the region which will pass the water test will be Iraq and Sudan…Climate change will exacerbate the situation.”

Regime change to democracy or any other form of government won’t bring jobs to a nation. Corporations want to use as few workers as possible to lower costs so they depend on a temporary global, interchangeable workforce, which means there will be low wages and no guaranteed job career. Robotics will be utilized whenever possible. Unemployment is not their concern.

Food and water resources will continue to decline as demand climbs. Eventually resources will reach a point that a significant global crisis occurs by 2030 and continues………… However, chances are excellent that crunch time will be here much sooner.

The United States will be the hardest hit with 138 million more people by 2050 and the integration of corporate North America. Barack Obama’s “North American perimeter*” will be complete and 120 million? Mexicans and the population of Canada will have those North American border passes for the free flow of people across the continent.

*Go here to see a video on the Obama-Harper secret border deal-NAU-North American perimeter.

And we Americans can have those passes ,too, since we will soon be citizens of North America. We will also have a national ID (REAL ID), which is mandatory by Jan. 15, 2013, according to Janet Napolitano. Without your national ID, you do not exist. You can write a book on just the probabilities over the next 40 years as the final days of our nation play out. But the Mexicans will make sure it happens.

America, definitely, will not be spared. No government is going to save you. That means some kind of serious planning is necessary for you and your family. A new date to keep in mind is 2015. We know that food and water are scarce now and they will be more scarce by 2015. And there is a good chance oil could be in that position, depending on how the global economy is doing. If it’s growing rapidly, that means an oil shortage is likely and the price will go up. And the economy?

Life will not be good.