NOTE: I began to write an informational book on planning for retirement based on how climate change will affect your choice of where to locate your retirement home and other factors necessary for a safe (safer) retirement.
But a recent article (6/16/2013) indicates that the talk globally is moving to a policy of attacking the source of greenhouse gases, together with adaptation. The thinking is that the rising levels of pollutants can’t be controlled with a growing global economy. So governments are now planning to adapt to the damage whenever possible. It means accepting a rise in temperatures worldwide.
In an article by Seth Borenstein, “the conversation is no longer solely about how to save the planet by cutting carbon emissions. It’s becoming more about how to save ourselves from the planet’s wild weather. (Photo: Tropical Storm Debby dropped 30 inches of rain over North Florida, flooding in places for the first time.)
A recent example is “Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s announcement…of an ambitious plan to stave off New York City’s rising seas with flood gates, levees and more that brought this transition into full focus.”
The point is that those in charge of reducing the greenhouse gases say they can’t do it without damaging the economy. So they have chosen to grow the global economy and make their plans to cut gases where they can and in other places repair the damage.
Meanwhile the plan is to attack the sources of the pollution that will bring us the best chance of success. This is called mitigation. They also plan to use adaptation where they can. It appears that the world has decided to do what they can, admitting failure. Now we find out how much damage occurs and how many people will perish.
Mitigation: Mitigation tackles the causes of climate change. The goal is to stop the activity that causes the problem.
Adaptation: Adaptation tackles the effects of the phenomenon. If a low beach side community is about to become a state of permanent flooding, the government may build barriers to keep the community safe from disaster. It’s changing to adapt to the reality. My guess is that in Florida they will have to write off a large portion of the state since it will be permanently underwater. I don’t know what will happen to the 18 million more new citizens of the state in 20 years (a total of 36 million, including illegals).
Illustration: This is Florida after the oceans rise 5 meters, or 17 feet.
President Obama has said that he has decided to mitigate a specific target for the United States, a move to cut back on greenhouse gases. The target is our power plants that run on coal. He “is preparing regulations limiting carbon dioxide emissions from existing power plants, senior officials said Wednesday. The move would be the most consequential climate policy step he could take and one likely to provoke legal challenges from Republicans and some industries.” More.
Obama has a long list he is planning to unveil toward reducing greenhouse gases in the U.S. soon, without the need to consult the approval of Congress.
“Denis McDonough, the White House chief of staff, and his deputy, Rob Nabors, have regularly met with cabinet secretaries and their deputies to adapt to a changing climate and to propose new measures that do not require Congressional action.”
On the other hand, a number of U.S. power plants have recently switched from burning coal to gas. Now American coal companies are selling that surplus coal to power plants in Europe and Asia. The market for cheap coal is always there. All that coal will be used.
Now the prediction for the next 20 to 30 years is for one billion more vehicles to be added to the world. Do you think that one billion more vehicles won’t make the demand for oil go up? Remember, we need to double our oil capacity. Do you think that the world will be cleaner with that many more vehicles? They will be using dirty oil and the temperature is going to climb as the economy grows.
Also, governments all over the world are trying to prepare for 2 dates, the years 2030 and 2050. when a massive shortage of food, water and still, probably a shortfall of fuel. And climate change will also be there to meet 9.4 billion people. Some experts have said that we need a couple of Earth size planets to meet the demands. But we only have one and that one is rapidly being destroyed. Do you see the problem?
CLIMATE CHANGE IS HERE: scientists have predicted a number of signs:
It means that the world will become hotter and the strange weather we’ve been having here over the last decade, especially the last two years, will become more erratic and dangerous. There are some signs which we have all noticed and were predicted. Some phenomena that were noted accurately by scientists have come true:
According to some studies, climate change is already “contributing to the deaths of nearly 400,000 people a year and costing the world more than $1.2 trillion…”a year.
Climate change scientists have consistently predicted the melting of the Arctic ice, which means that the temperature will continue to increase, melting more ice. The jet stream will become erratic and drop down deep over the United States and remain for awhile. That’s why we had those two blizzards deep in the Southwest over a one week period late in this season. There were deep snow records in those storms, also. The heavy snow fall was because of the warming atmosphere. Now the clouds have become supersaturated with moisture, collecting water and dropping heavy snow. (PHOTO: melting ice in Greenland.)
And in the summer, these saturated clouds make even an afternoon thunderstorm a possibility to become a deluge, flooding homes and businesses. And that is why Tropical Storm Debbie dropped up to 30 inches of rain in North Florida, with deep flooding in places that have never had a flood in history.
Hurricane Sandy was blocked by high pressure off the Northeast U.S., which stopped it from moving off to Europe. Instead, it turned left and wreaked havoc on New York and other nearby states. This led to the mayor of New York deciding to adapt to the problem by building flood gates and levees to save the city from eventual destruction. (In the long run, though, stopping the rise in greenhouse gases is a full time mission. Part time efforts will end in failure.)
It’s the same reason high pressure can drop over the Southwest from Canada and stay there for a long time, wreaking havoc on crops and death to the young and old caught in cities without air-conditioning , where the cities’ concrete Urban Heat Islands can produce a death trap that millions suffer in.
Now corporations and governments may choose to change some of their targets and take the easier path and fix the problem after it’s happened. It appears that globally those in charge may adapt rather than attack CO2 levels. Then the chances of the CO2 gases passing the danger level of 400 ppm (knocking on the door now) is a certainty. If there is no longer to be a full effort to stop the temperature from rising to the danger level beyond 400 ppm a policy, there will no longer be a possibility of defending the Earth from disaster.
This “growing economy”, with another 2.4 billion more people added to planet Earth over the next 30 to 40 years, is predicted to purchase another one billion more vehicles and use a lot of dirty Canadian oil to add to the climate. And the parts per million will fly past the danger level long before we reach 2030, or 2050. These two critical dates are times in which predictions are for massive global shortages of food, water and oil. Oil was on the list because of the restriction on drilling for dirty oil but now it is obvious business and governments are no longer concentrating on stopping the horrors of “runaway” climate change. The goal seems to be let the corporate world make their trillions and grow the economy.
(PHOTO: Trucks bring water to third world cities out of water. And now, they bring water to Texas towns that are also out of water. Yes. The future will be that desperate. In some places, it already is. )
James Hansen, former head of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies: Perceptions of Climate Change: The New Climate (pdf)
“Although species migrate to stay within climate zones in which they can survive, continued climate change at the rate of the past three decades is expected to take an enormous toll on planetary life.
“If global warming approaches 3C (degrees) by the end of the century, it is estimated that 21-52% of the species on Earth will be committed to extinction (3). Fortunately, scenarios are also possible in which such large warming is avoided by placing a rising price on carbon emissions that moves the world to a clean energy future fast enough to limit global warming to several tenths of a degree Celsius (29). Such a scenario is needed if we are to preserve life as we know it.”
My money is on the corporations. Oh, that next extinction, the sixth one in history, includes humans.